La scuola delle quote

Bohemians v Derry City

Inizio: 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Finale: Bohemians 1–1 Derry City

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bohemians (Casa)

Previsione 52.93%1.89quota equa
EV -3.13%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.30%52.79%52.97%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.761.751.8360.61%56.82%57.14%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derry City (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.07%4.75quota equa
EV -3.07%
Vantaggio -0.668%
Kelly -0.853%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.35%21.12%21.04%22.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.304.254.6025.00%23.26%23.53%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.00%3.85quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -0.671%
Kelly -0.915%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.63%26.10%26.00%28.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.423.403.7532.26%29.21%29.41%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.38%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.93%EV -3.28%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.69%EV -2.78%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:29
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-30 23:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -3.07%E -0.668%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.07%E -0.668%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:45
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:45
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -6.23%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:44
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.15%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:29
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:29
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.76%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:55
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.44%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -18.11%E -5.75%K -8.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 18:55
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 18:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 18:29
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:54
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -11.07%E -6.59%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.60%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.41%E -6.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 18:55
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -12.13%E -7.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-01 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.11%EV -12.66%E -7.67%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.12%EV -12.55%E -3.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-05-01 18:55
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-05-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-05-01 18:50