Idioma:Español
Bohemians v Derry City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bohemians (Local)
Predicción 52.93%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.30%52.79%52.97%53.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.751.8360.61%56.82%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Derry City (Visitante)
Predicción 21.07%4.75momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -0.668%
Kelly -0.853%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.35%21.12%21.04%22.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.304.254.6025.00%23.26%23.53%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.671%
Kelly -0.915%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.63%26.10%26.00%28.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.403.7532.26%29.21%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Bohemians (Local): 52.93%; Derry City (Visitante): 21.07%; Empate: 26.00%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.85. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -2.52%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.38%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.93%EV -3.28%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.69%EV -2.78%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -3.07%E -0.668%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.07%E -0.668%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -6.23%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.15%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.76%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.44%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -18.11%E -5.75%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-01 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -11.07%E -6.59%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.60%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.41%E -6.26%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -12.13%E -7.31%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.11%EV -12.66%E -7.67%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.12%EV -12.55%E -3.03%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 18:50 |