L’École des cotes

Bohemians v Derry City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC

Score final : Bohemians 1–1 Derry City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 52.93%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -3.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.30%52.79%52.97%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.761.751.8360.61%56.82%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Derry City (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.07%4.75cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -0.853%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.35%21.12%21.04%22.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.304.254.6025.00%23.26%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -0.915%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.63%26.10%26.00%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.403.7532.26%29.21%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.30%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.38%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.93%EV -3.28%E -0.715%K -0.914%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.69%EV -2.78%E -0.742%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 18:50
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:29
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.32%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -15.51%E -4.77%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-30 23:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -3.07%E -0.668%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 18:55
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -3.07%E -0.668%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:45
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:45
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -6.23%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:44
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.72%EV -4.97%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.88%EV -6.15%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:29
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:29
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:30
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.76%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:55
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.44%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.61%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -18.11%E -5.75%K -8.42%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-01 18:55
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -10.45%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 52.43%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 18:45
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -2.52%E -0.671%K -0.915%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 18:30
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.18%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -5.12%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 18:29
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -8.96%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 18:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.29%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.01%E -2.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:54
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44%EV -11.07%E -6.59%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.60%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.41%E -6.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 18:55
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -12.13%E -7.31%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-01 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.11%EV -12.66%E -7.67%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.12%EV -12.55%E -3.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-05-01 18:55
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-05-01 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-05-01 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-05-01 18:50