The School of Odds
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Ulsan Hyundai FC v Incheon United

2026-09-12 07:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd
EV -10.37%
Edge -4.71%
Kelly -8.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%40.74%40.74%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.182.2047.62%46.04%45.87%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Incheon United (Visit)

Prediction 31.14%3.21fair odd
EV -10.33%
Edge -3.59%
Kelly -5.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.07%31.14%31.14%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.842.852.8836.36%35.19%35.09%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -10.00%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.05%28.12%28.12%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.143.153.2032.79%31.82%31.75%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 40.74%; Incheon United (Visit): 31.14%; Draw: 28.12%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -10.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.37%E -4.71%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.33%E -3.59%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -11.19%E -5.13%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.81%EV -11.59%E -5.34%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -11.26%E -3.95%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.74%EV -12.82%E -5.99%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -12.82%E -4.58%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.82%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -14.45%E -6.88%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -14.37%E -5.23%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.25I 80.00%NM 33.77%1.28I 78.13%NM 32.98%1.27I 78.74%NM 33.24%136.9%2026-09-06 00:55