Language:English
Ulsan Hyundai FC v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)
Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%41.64%41.83%43.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.83%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 30.10%3.32fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.79%30.13%30.01%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.972.953.2136.36%33.66%33.90%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.762%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.23%28.16%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4532.79%31.19%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 41.68%; Incheon United (Visit): 30.10%; Draw: 28.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -2.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -5.38%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.65%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 06:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.83%EV -6.63%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.94%EV -5.80%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -6.30%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -7.47%E -3.36%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.10%E -1.96%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.30%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.79%EV -7.88%E -3.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-09 16:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -2.63%E -0.762%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 06:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 06:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 12:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.81%EV -9.55%E -4.40%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 06:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 07:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 40.74%EV -10.80%E -5.05%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -15.73%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 06:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.78%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -13.07%E -4.24%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 06:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.57%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.92%E -4.56%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -17.24%E -6.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -13.92%E -4.56%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61% | 2.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50% | 3.2% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68% | 4.1% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |