Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Incheon United

Início: 2026-09-12 07:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1 Incheon United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Previsão 41.68%2.40odd justa
EV -4.97%
Vantagem -2.18%
Kelly -3.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.70%41.64%41.83%43.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.83%45.87%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Incheon United (Visitante)

Previsão 30.10%3.32odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.79%30.13%30.01%31.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.972.953.2136.36%33.66%33.90%31.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.22%3.54odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -0.762%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.03%28.23%28.16%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.213.203.4532.79%31.19%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 41.68%; Incheon United (Visitante): 30.10%; Empate: 28.22%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.54. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.45, com valor esperado de -2.63%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.93%EV -5.38%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.65%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-09 16:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.04%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 06:34
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 12:51
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.83%EV -6.63%E -2.96%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.94%EV -5.80%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.23%EV -6.30%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.01%EV -7.47%E -3.36%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.10%E -1.96%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.30%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:05
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.79%EV -7.88%E -3.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 16:13
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -2.63%E -0.762%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 10:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 10:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.70%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:04
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 06:34
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 06:35
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 12:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -9.13%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.81%EV -9.55%E -4.40%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.07%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -3.69%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 16:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -6.86%E -2.08%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 06:34
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.27%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 07:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 12:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 12:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.38%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 07:09
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.74%EV -10.80%E -5.05%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -15.73%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.12%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.72%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.10%E -3.52%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 06:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.78%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.74%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -13.07%E -4.24%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 06:33
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.52%EV -10.62%E -3.57%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.92%E -4.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 17:11
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.78%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.14%EV -17.24%E -6.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.08%EV -13.92%E -4.56%K -6.79%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -9.71%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.51%E -4.03%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 06:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%3.2%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.37%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%3.2%2026-09-09 17:20
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.80%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.90%3.9%2026-09-09 16:46
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.68%4.1%2026-09-09 17:30