Language:English
Ulsan Hyundai FC v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)
Prediction 40.73%2.46fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.97%40.69%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.202.3850.00%45.24%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 30.17%3.31fair odd
EV -0.442%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.192%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.16%30.09%30.16%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.063.053.3035.09%32.69%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.10%3.44fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.93%29.15%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.103.4033.33%31.85%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local): 40.73%; Incheon United (Visit): 30.17%; Draw: 29.10%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.442%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -0.984%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -5.27%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.42%EV -4.70%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.42%EV -4.70%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -7.08%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.45%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.33%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.05%E -0.309%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -2.50%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.05%E -0.309%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -11.24%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.21%E -5.14%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -11.62%E -5.36%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.09%EV -10.65%E -3.47%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.33%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -11.24%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.02%E -4.92%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -15.69%E -7.58%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -11.24%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -18.54%E -9.27%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -0.442%E -0.134%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-14 11:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 1.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86% | 1.5% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 1.9% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-07-21 10:25 |