The School of Odds

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Incheon United

2026-07-21 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Prediction 44.82%2.23fair odd
EV -7.67%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -7.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.82%44.82%44.82%45.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0651%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Incheon United (Visit)

Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -7.64%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%27.16%27.16%27.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.343.353.4031%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV -7.56%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -3.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.90%28.01%28.01%28.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.213.203.3032%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -7.67%E -3.72%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.64%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.56%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -9.46%E -4.68%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.96%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:30
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.00%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 11:29
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.36%E -5.18%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.36%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.36%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-14 11:29
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.06%EV -12.60%E -6.46%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.76%E -3.73%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-14 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.