La escuela de los momios

Ulsan Hyundai FC v Incheon United

Inicio: 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC

Final: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–2 Incheon United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ulsan Hyundai FC (Local)

Predicción 40.73%2.46momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.47%40.97%40.69%44.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.202.3850.00%45.24%45.45%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Incheon United (Visitante)

Predicción 30.17%3.31momio equitativo
EV -0.442%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.192%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%30.09%30.16%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.053.3035.09%32.69%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.10%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.93%29.15%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.143.103.4033.33%31.85%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%EV -3.07%E -1.29%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -3.16%E -0.984%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.16%EV -3.38%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-21 10:25
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.43%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.25%EV -5.27%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.32%EV -5.71%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 10:25
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 10:25
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.42%EV -4.70%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 10:25
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.42%EV -4.70%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.03%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 10:25
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -7.08%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.45%E -2.34%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -5.92%E -2.56%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.33%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 10:24
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.05%E -0.309%K -0.437%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 10:25
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 10:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 10:25
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -2.50%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 10:25
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.05%E -0.309%K -0.437%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 10:25
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.48%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 10:25
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 10:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.99%EV -8.36%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.50%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -11.24%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 10:25
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.00%E -3.73%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-21 10:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -5.42%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-21 10:25
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.21%E -5.14%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 10:25
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.15%EV -11.62%E -5.36%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.09%EV -10.65%E -3.47%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.33%E -2.64%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.11%E -4.55%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -11.24%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-21 10:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -12.51%E -4.31%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-21 10:25
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -12.44%E -5.78%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.02%E -4.92%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -12.69%E -4.23%K -6.35%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:24
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -13.66%E -6.44%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.97%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -9.78%E -3.16%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 10:25
PMU (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.42%EV -15.69%E -7.58%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.79%EV -11.24%E -3.68%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-21 10:25
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -18.54%E -9.27%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -0.442%E -0.134%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.87%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%1.1%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.86%1.5%2026-07-21 10:25
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%1.9%2026-07-21 10:25
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-07-21 10:25