Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC v Pohang Steelers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prediction 32.72%3.06fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.65%32.80%32.86%35.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.64%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pohang Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 36.57%2.73fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.67%36.55%36.54%38.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.492.502.6644.64%40.12%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.71%3.26fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.13%30.64%30.60%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.023.1736.36%33.28%33.11%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 32.72%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 36.57%; Draw: 30.71%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.85%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -1.85%E -0.615%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.41%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 07:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -1.85%E -0.615%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.41%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 07:15
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.11%EV -1.85%E -0.615%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.72%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -6.64%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 07:14
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 07:14
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.27%EV -3.81%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.80%EV -8.21%E -3.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.93%EV -2.65%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -5.65%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -10.02%E -3.42%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 07:24
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 07:14
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:09
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 07:22
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 07:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 07:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 06:39
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:09
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 07:04
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 06:33
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:34
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -9.04%E -3.25%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.84%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:14
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -9.04%E -3.25%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.84%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 07:14
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 07:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 06:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 07:00
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -14.01%E -5.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-28 07:14
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.30%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 07:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -13.30%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.96%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -11.86%E -4.13%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -13.30%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.12%EV -18.08%E -8.07%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.65%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-28 07:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.95%E -5.30%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -13.95%E -5.30%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.17%EV -15.15%E -6.53%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.05%EV -11.86%E -4.13%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-28 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 07:15
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 07:14
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-28 07:14
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -16.57%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 07:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.28%EV -15.89%E -6.91%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -15.55%E -5.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 07:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-02-28 07:19