La escuela de los momios

Sangju Sangmu FC v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-02-28 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Predicción 32.72%3.06momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -0.923%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.65%32.80%32.86%35.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.732.703.0040.00%36.64%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 36.57%2.73momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.67%36.55%36.54%38.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.242.492.502.6644.64%40.12%40.00%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.71%3.26momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.835%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.13%30.64%30.60%31.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.023.1736.36%33.28%33.11%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -1.85%E -0.615%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.41%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 07:14
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -1.85%E -0.615%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.09%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.36%EV -5.41%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 07:15
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.11%EV -1.85%E -0.615%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.72%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.68%EV -6.64%E -2.18%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 07:14
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -3.48%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.03%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 07:14
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.27%EV -3.81%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.80%EV -8.21%E -3.27%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.93%EV -2.65%E -0.835%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 07:19
Marathon Bet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.04%EV -4.79%E -1.65%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -5.65%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -10.02%E -3.42%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 07:24
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 07:14
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:24
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -5.12%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:09
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -5.77%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 07:22
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 07:04
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.75%E -2.37%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 07:15
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 06:39
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:09
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 07:04
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 06:33
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.39%E -3.00%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:34
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -9.04%E -3.25%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.84%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:14
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -9.04%E -3.25%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.41%EV -7.84%E -3.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:15
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 07:14
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 07:04
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 06:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:09
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -10.40%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 07:00
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -11.66%E -4.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.23%E -5.10%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -14.01%E -5.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-28 07:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -13.30%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.08%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-28 07:14
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -13.30%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.96%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.26%EV -11.86%E -4.13%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 07:25
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.23%EV -13.30%E -5.02%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.12%EV -18.08%E -8.07%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.65%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-28 07:19
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 34.89%EV -13.95%E -5.30%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.98%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 07:15
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.79%EV -13.95%E -5.30%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.17%EV -15.15%E -6.53%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.05%EV -11.86%E -4.13%K -6.34%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-28 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 07:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 07:14
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:14
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 07:15
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -14.93%E -5.74%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -14.06%E -5.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-28 07:14
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -16.57%E -6.50%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 07:15
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.38%EV -18.20%E -7.28%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.28%EV -15.89%E -6.91%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.34%EV -15.55%E -5.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-28 07:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.61%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-02-28 07:19
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-02-28 07:19