Language:English
Sangju Sangmu FC v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)
Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.49%42.48%42.51%43.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.23%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV +0.030%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.75%27.73%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.243.203.6132.79%30.85%31.25%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.76%3.36fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -0.777%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.63%29.77%29.77%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.063.053.3034.72%32.65%32.79%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 42.53%; Incheon United (Visit): 27.71%; Draw: 29.76%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.609. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.610, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.030%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV +0.030%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.04%EV -6.86%E -3.13%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.63%E -0.460%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.04%EV -6.86%E -3.13%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.63%E -0.460%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 05:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.39%EV -6.01%E -2.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 06:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.61%EV -6.86%E -3.13%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.67%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 06:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.69%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 06:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 05:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 05:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.60%EV -8.63%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -14.29%E -4.96%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -1.79%E -0.542%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -13.69%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.64%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -15.49%E -5.08%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 06:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |