La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sangju Sangmu FC v Incheon United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)
Predicción 42.53%2.35momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -3.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%42.48%42.51%43.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.162.2550.00%46.23%46.30%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Incheon United (Visitante)
Predicción 27.71%3.61momio equitativo
EV +0.030%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.012%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.75%27.73%29.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.243.203.6132.79%30.85%31.25%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.76%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.777%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.63%29.77%29.77%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.063.053.3034.72%32.65%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV +0.030%E +0.008%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.04%EV -6.86%E -3.13%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.63%E -0.460%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.04%EV -6.86%E -3.13%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.63%E -0.460%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.20%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 05:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.39%EV -6.01%E -2.72%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 06:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.61%EV -6.86%E -3.13%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Bovada | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.67%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 06:33 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.69%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 06:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.17%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 05:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 05:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.60%EV -8.63%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -14.29%E -4.96%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -4.31%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -1.79%E -0.542%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.95%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.44%E -2.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -5.16%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.76%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.69%E -5.09%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.33%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.29%E -3.34%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.72%E -4.04%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.74%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -6.25%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.14%E -3.77%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 06:05 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 06:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-09 05:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -14.94%E -7.47%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -13.69%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.64%EV -9.84%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.94%EV -15.49%E -5.08%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.42%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 06:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.88% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-05-09 06:34 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.34% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 06:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 06:44 |