Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC v Gangwon FC

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 07:31 UTC

Final: Sangju Sangmu FC 2–2 Gangwon FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prediction 31.35%3.19fair odd
EV -0.943%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.61%31.38%31.39%32.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.862.853.1638.02%34.95%35.09%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gangwon FC (Visit)

Prediction 39.34%2.54fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.61%39.36%39.23%41.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.332.4646.51%42.93%42.92%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.31%3.41fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%29.26%29.38%30.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.103.3034.48%32.26%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 31.35%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 39.34%; Draw: 29.31%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.16, with an expected value of -0.943%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV -0.943%E -0.299%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 07:21
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.82%E -0.911%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.82%E -0.911%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 07:25
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 07:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 07:25
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -9.13%E -3.95%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 07:23
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 07:21
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 07:21
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.46%EV -6.59%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 07:21
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.97%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.46%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 07:25
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 07:15
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:25
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 07:25
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 07:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 07:25
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 07:25
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.24%E -6.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 07:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 07:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -11.60%E -4.11%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.65%EV -12.94%E -4.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-13 07:25
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 07:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 07:11
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 07:25
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.09%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 07:15
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 07:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:16
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:16
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.24%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 07:15
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.36%E -5.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.21%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-13 07:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.51%EV -17.56%E -6.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 07:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 33.42%2.82I 35.46%NM 36.15%3.35I 29.85%NM 30.43%-1.9%2026-09-13 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-13 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-09-13 07:25
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-09-13 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-09-13 07:25
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-09-13 07:25