Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sangju Sangmu FC v Gangwon FC

Inicio: 2026-09-13 07:31 UTC

Final: Sangju Sangmu FC 2–2 Gangwon FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Predicción 31.35%3.19momio equitativo
EV -0.943%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.437%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%31.38%31.39%32.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.862.853.1638.02%34.95%35.09%31.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gangwon FC (Visitante)

Predicción 39.34%2.54momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.61%39.36%39.23%41.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.332.4646.51%42.93%42.92%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -0.989%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.26%29.38%30.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.103.103.3034.48%32.26%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 31.35%; Gangwon FC (Visitante): 39.34%; Empate: 29.31%. Para Sangju Sangmu FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.19. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.16, con un valor esperado de -0.943%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV -0.943%E -0.299%K -0.437%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -4.41%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -3.85%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 07:21
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.82%E -0.911%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -2.82%E -0.911%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 07:25
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 07:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 07:25
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.95%EV -9.13%E -3.95%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 07:23
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 07:21
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.96%E -1.99%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 07:21
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.46%EV -6.59%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.48%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 07:21
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.43%EV -6.90%E -2.32%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.78%E -2.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.97%EV -7.21%E -2.44%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.46%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 07:25
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 07:15
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:25
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -7.53%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-13 07:25
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 07:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 07:25
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 07:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.09%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 07:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 07:25
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 07:25
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 07:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -9.72%E -3.38%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.24%E -6.53%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 07:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 07:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.22%EV -11.60%E -4.11%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.65%EV -12.94%E -4.36%K -6.57%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-13 07:25
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.19%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 07:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 07:11
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 07:25
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 07:15
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -12.23%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.09%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 07:15
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 07:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:16
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:16
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.30%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.24%EV -13.80%E -5.02%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.21%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 07:15
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -15.36%E -5.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.21%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -13.52%E -4.58%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-13 07:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.51%EV -17.56%E -6.68%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.00%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 07:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 33.42%2.82I 35.46%NM 36.15%3.35I 29.85%NM 30.43%-1.9%2026-09-13 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-09-13 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-09-13 07:25
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-09-13 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.42%1.5%2026-09-13 07:25
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.18%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-09-13 07:25