The School of Odds

Sangju Sangmu FC v Daejeon Citizen

2026-07-25 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prediction 33.03%3.03fair odd
EV -5.85%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.16%32.98%33.09%33.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.762.8539%36%36%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Daejeon Citizen (Visit)

Prediction 38.81%2.58fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.00%38.86%38.75%40.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.382.4447%43%42%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.16%3.55fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.16%28.17%29.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.233.4033%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.85%E -2.05%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 17:30
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.08%EV -6.51%E -2.30%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.37%EV -5.31%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -7.64%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -6.84%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.31%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 19:50
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -6.84%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.31%E -2.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 19:50
Marathon Bet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -6.84%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -6.08%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.64%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 19:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 17:30
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 17:29
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 17:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 17:30
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 21:50
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 17:30
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 17:30
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 32.93%EV -8.17%E -2.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 17:30
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 32.93%EV -8.17%E -2.94%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.46%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 17:30
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 17:29
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.86%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 17:30
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.80%E -3.74%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 17:30
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.08%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 17:29
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -9.16%E -3.33%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -14.62%E -6.65%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-21 17:30
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 17:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 17:30
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.74%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.51%EV -10.81%E -4.00%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.36%EV -13.46%E -6.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.13%EV -12.15%E -3.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-21 17:30
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.27%EV -12.46%E -4.70%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.68%E -5.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.90%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-21 17:30
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -14.11%E -5.43%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -12.68%E -5.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-21 17:30
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.09%EV -15.76%E -6.18%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.25%EV -16.56%E -7.70%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.66%EV -14.12%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-21 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 32.74%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.49%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%14.0%2026-07-21 17:30