Language:English
Sangju Sangmu FC v Daejeon Citizen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)
Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.793%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.97%32.17%32.28%33.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.823.0537.74%35.26%35.46%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visit)
Prediction 39.18%2.55fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.06%39.29%39.16%40.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.302.4846.51%43.04%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%28.54%28.56%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.41%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sangju Sangmu FC (Local): 32.25%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 39.18%; Draw: 28.56%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -1.62%E -0.533%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -2.83%E -1.14%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-25 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 09:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -3.88%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -3.88%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.75%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 09:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.86%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -5.57%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.88%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 09:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 10:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 09:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -7.53%E -3.19%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 10:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-25 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-25 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-25 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-25 09:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 03:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.45%EV -9.04%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 09:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.45%EV -9.04%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 09:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.75%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 03:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 10:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-25 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -13.80%E -6.27%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-25 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.66%E -3.85%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.37%EV -11.06%E -4.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 10:02 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-25 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -10.66%E -4.68%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-25 03:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.47%EV -12.62%E -5.66%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 03:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.76%E -7.33%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-25 04:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.21%EV -13.02%E -5.86%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-25 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-25 09:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 2.4% | 2026-07-25 10:15 |
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