L’École des cotes

Sangju Sangmu FC v Daejeon Citizen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 10:30 UTC

Score final : Sangju Sangmu FC 3–2 Daejeon Citizen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sangju Sangmu FC (Local)

Prévision 32.25%3.10cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -0.793%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.97%32.17%32.28%33.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.823.0537.74%35.26%35.46%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daejeon Citizen (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.18%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.06%39.29%39.16%40.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.322.302.4846.51%43.04%43.48%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.848%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.54%28.56%30.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.4033.33%31.41%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -1.62%E -0.533%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.03%EV -2.83%E -1.14%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 10:15
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 09:35
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 10:05
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -3.88%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 10:25
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.72%EV -3.88%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.74%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 10:25
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.75%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 10:24
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.85%E -1.64%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:40
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.86%EV -5.17%E -1.76%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.87%EV -5.57%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 10:10
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.88%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 09:35
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 09:40
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 10:05
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 10:15
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 09:35
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.02%EV -7.53%E -3.19%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 10:24
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -6.46%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 10:05
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 09:30
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 09:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 10:05
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -7.43%E -2.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 09:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.96%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 10:20
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.08%E -2.83%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 03:30
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.45%EV -9.04%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:40
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.45%EV -9.04%E -3.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -7.92%E -3.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:40
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.75%E -2.83%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -9.10%E -3.92%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 03:30
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 10:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 10:10
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -13.80%E -6.27%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 10:05
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-25 09:35
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.66%E -3.85%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.37%EV -11.06%E -4.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 10:02
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 09:40
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.88%E -4.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 10:05
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -11.30%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.35%EV -10.66%E -4.68%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 03:29
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.60%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.47%EV -12.62%E -5.66%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 03:29
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -15.76%E -7.33%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 04:15
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -12.91%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.21%EV -13.02%E -5.86%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.54%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -11.84%E -5.26%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 09:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-07-25 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-07-25 10:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-07-25 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-07-25 10:25
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-07-25 10:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-07-25 10:15