Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers v Sangju Sangmu FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 10:30 UTC

Final: Pohang Steelers 0–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 36.70%2.73fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -0.983%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%37.01%36.67%41.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.472.452.6846.30%40.53%40.82%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 33.30%3.00fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.514%
Kelly +0.764%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.45%33.03%33.32%34.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.703.0538.46%36.42%37.04%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.78%29.96%30.01%31.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.75%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 36.70%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 33.30%; Draw: 30.00%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -20.73%E -9.60%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV +1.57%E +0.514%K +0.764%G +0.012%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 10:04
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -2.02%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.25%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -4.89%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 10:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.49%E -0.767%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 10:19
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.57%EV -7.16%E -2.83%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.43%EV -3.09%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 10:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.616%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.616%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:25
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:19
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -4.95%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -6.09%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -9.39%E -3.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 10:25
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.41%EV -8.99%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 10:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 10:19
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.05%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.42%E -2.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 10:23
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 10:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 10:25
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 10:09
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.52%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -9.42%E -3.46%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 10:20
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.52%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -9.42%E -3.46%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 10:20
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 10:25
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 10:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 10:24
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:14
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 09:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 10:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.91%EV -11.19%E -4.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.32%EV -10.75%E -4.01%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 10:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 10:19
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 10:24
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-01 10:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-01 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-08-01 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-08-01 10:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-08-01 10:15

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.