Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pohang Steelers v Sangju Sangmu FC

Inicio: 2026-08-01 10:30 UTC

Final: Pohang Steelers 0–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Predicción 36.70%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.616%
Kelly -0.983%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.41%37.01%36.67%41.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.162.472.452.6846.30%40.53%40.82%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante)

Predicción 33.30%3.00momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.514%
Kelly +0.764%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.45%33.03%33.32%34.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.752.703.0538.46%36.42%37.04%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.00%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.767%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.78%29.96%30.01%31.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.053.2534.48%32.75%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Pohang Steelers (Local): 36.70%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante): 33.30%; Empate: 30.00%. Para Sangju Sangmu FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.00. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.57%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -20.73%E -9.60%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV +1.57%E +0.514%K +0.764%G +0.012%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 10:04
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.23%EV -2.02%E -0.756%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.25%EV -3.10%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -4.89%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 10:20
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -3.43%E -1.18%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.49%E -0.767%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 10:19
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.57%EV -7.16%E -2.83%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.00%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.43%EV -3.09%E -0.957%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 10:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.616%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.41%EV -1.65%E -0.616%K -0.983%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 10:25
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.09%E -1.42%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:19
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.09%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.99%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 10:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -4.95%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.08%EV -6.09%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -9.39%E -3.11%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 10:25
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 10:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.41%EV -8.99%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 10:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.76%E -2.41%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 10:19
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.05%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -7.42%E -2.67%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 10:23
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 10:25
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 10:25
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.42%E -3.06%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-01 10:09
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.52%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -9.42%E -3.46%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 10:20
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.52%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -9.42%E -3.46%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 10:20
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 10:25
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.99%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 10:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 10:24
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:14
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 10:15
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 09:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -10.09%E -3.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 10:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.91%EV -11.19%E -4.63%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.32%EV -10.75%E -4.01%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 10:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -5.49%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 10:19
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.76%E -5.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -11.75%E -4.44%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-01 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 10:24
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -9.99%E -3.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -8.49%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 10:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -13.42%E -5.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -12.99%E -4.48%K -6.84%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-01 10:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.69%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-08-01 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-08-01 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.85%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.62%0.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-08-01 10:25
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-08-01 10:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-08-01 10:15