Language:English
Pohang Steelers v Incheon United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pohang Steelers (Local)
Prediction 35.67%2.80fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.559%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%35.93%35.54%39.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.7644.44%40.34%40.00%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incheon United (Visit)
Prediction 32.90%3.04fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.646%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.41%32.75%32.93%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.812.813.0040.00%35.55%35.59%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.42%3.18fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.93%31.32%31.53%32.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.922.933.1038.46%34.24%34.13%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 35.67%; Incheon United (Visit): 32.90%; Draw: 31.42%. For Incheon United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.07%EV -1.54%E -0.559%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -3.21%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -7.54%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.18%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -9.19%E -3.33%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -7.93%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -6.18%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.54%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -13.79%E -5.27%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -7.61%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -2.28%E -0.767%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -4.78%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.58%E -0.834%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -10.46%E -4.17%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.40%EV -3.27%E -1.11%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -9.81%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -9.81%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -12.15%E -4.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -13.58%E -4.94%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 07:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.91%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.52%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 31.57%EV -14.21%E -5.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-15 07:27 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.02%EV -18.30%E -7.04%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.10%E -6.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -16.17%E -6.88%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -17.24%E -7.43%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -18.67%E -8.19%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -19.74%E -8.77%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.74% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.38% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.88% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |