La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Pohang Steelers v Incheon United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pohang Steelers (Local)
Predicción 35.67%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -0.559%
Kelly -0.876%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.15%35.93%35.54%39.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.502.7644.44%40.34%40.00%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Incheon United (Visitante)
Predicción 32.90%3.04momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.431%
Kelly -0.646%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.41%32.75%32.93%36.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.812.813.0040.00%35.55%35.59%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.42%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.58%
Ventaja -0.834%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.93%31.32%31.53%32.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.922.933.1038.46%34.24%34.13%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.07%EV -1.54%E -0.559%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -3.21%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -1.90%E -0.691%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.19%EV -7.54%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -5.47%E -2.06%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Bovada | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.08%EV -6.18%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -9.19%E -3.33%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -7.93%E -2.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -6.18%E -2.35%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -6.54%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -7.25%E -2.79%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.97%EV -13.79%E -5.27%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -7.61%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.98%EV -2.28%E -0.767%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -4.78%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -2.58%E -0.834%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.03%E -3.54%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.77%EV -10.46%E -4.17%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.40%EV -3.27%E -1.11%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -9.50%E -3.30%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -9.81%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -9.81%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.82%E -4.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-15 07:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.67%EV -12.15%E -4.55%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -13.58%E -4.94%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-15 07:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.49%EV -12.60%E -5.14%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -14.45%E -5.56%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.06%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betsson | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -6.23%E -2.19%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -4.16%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -11.16%E -4.13%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.91%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.52%EV -12.81%E -4.83%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 31.57%EV -14.21%E -5.21%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-15 07:27 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -14.38%E -5.99%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.30%EV -17.74%E -7.10%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.02%EV -18.30%E -7.04%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -15.10%E -6.34%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -12.01%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -16.17%E -6.88%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -16.88%E -7.25%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -1.29%E -0.431%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -5.73%E -1.91%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%EV -17.24%E -7.43%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -17.95%E -7.81%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -2.94%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -7.30%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -18.67%E -8.19%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -19.74%E -8.77%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -8.87%E -3.06%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 07:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.91% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 35.74% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.38% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.88% | 10.1% | 2026-03-15 07:30 |