Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 7.40
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 60.79%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 14.13%; Draw: 25.08%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.08. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV +4.59%E +0.621%K +0.718%G +0.033% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV +4.59%E +0.621%K +0.718%G +0.033% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 7.28I 13.74%NM 13.04%EV +2.90%E +0.398%K +0.461%G +0.013% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.09%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.64%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.32%EV +2.05%E +0.284%K +0.329%G +0.007% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -3.71%E -0.966%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -6.38%E -4.15%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.303%E +0.076%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -3.18%E -0.464%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -5.21%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -4.59%E -0.681%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.39%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.38%E -4.15%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.38%E -4.15%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 09:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 10:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 09:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.55%EV -10.96%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.55%EV -10.96%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.59%EV -15.50%E -11.15%K -39.75%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.59%EV -10.96%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.82%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.61%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -11.66%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 09:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 09:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -16.61%E -2.82%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -10.64%E -7.24%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -20.85%E -3.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 58.94%EV -11.25%E -7.70%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.37%EV -20.85%E -3.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.69%EV -16.00%E -4.77%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 10:08 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -23.68%E -4.38%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -25.80%E -4.91%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.55%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -26.50%E -5.10%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-22 10:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.12% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.12% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.12% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.59% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53% | 1.9% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 10:20 |