La escuela de los momios

Pohang Steelers v Gwangju FC

Inicio: 2026-04-22 10:30 UTC

Final: Pohang Steelers 1–0 Gwangju FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Predicción 60.79%1.65momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.31%60.71%60.67%62.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.391.531.521.6071.94%65.53%65.79%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Predicción 14.13%7.08momio equitativo
EV +4.59%
Ventaja +0.621%
Kelly +0.718%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.74%14.27%14.34%17.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.136.257.4019.23%16.30%16.00%13.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.08%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.303%
Ventaja +0.076%
Kelly +0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.60%25.03%24.99%26.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.593.604.0029.85%27.82%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV +4.59%E +0.621%K +0.718%G +0.033%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:19
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.74%EV +4.59%E +0.621%K +0.718%G +0.033%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 10:19
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 13.04%EV +2.90%E +0.398%K +0.461%G +0.013%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.09%EV -8.72%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 10:19
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.64%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.32%EV +2.05%E +0.284%K +0.329%G +0.007%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.04%EV -3.71%E -0.966%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 10:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.53%EV -6.38%E -4.15%K -11.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 10:19
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +0.303%E +0.076%K +0.101%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 10:19
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 10:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.31%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 09:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 10:00
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -8.21%E -5.44%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -3.18%E -0.464%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -5.21%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 10:19
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV -4.59%E -0.681%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 10:15
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.39%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 09:49
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.38%E -4.15%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 09:55
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.69%EV -6.38%E -4.15%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 10:20
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 10:00
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.92%EV -5.78%E -3.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:50
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.80%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 10:14
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.23%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 09:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.70%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 10:19
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.81%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.80%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.55%EV -10.96%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 10:19
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.32%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.55%EV -10.96%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 10:20
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 61.59%EV -15.50%E -11.15%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.59%EV -10.96%E -1.74%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.82%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-22 10:19
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.61%EV -7.60%E -5.00%K -14.61%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -11.66%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 09:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 10:19
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 09:54
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.57%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 09:55
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -12.46%E -8.65%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-22 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -8.81%E -5.88%K -17.63%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.37%EV -16.61%E -2.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 10:19
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.85%EV -10.64%E -7.24%K -22.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -20.85%E -3.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 10:19
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 58.94%EV -11.25%E -7.70%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.37%EV -20.85%E -3.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.69%EV -16.00%E -4.77%K -6.81%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 10:08
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -2.74%E -1.71%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -23.68%E -4.38%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 10:04
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.52%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 10:04
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 10:04
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 10:04
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.31%EV -4.56%E -2.90%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.98%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 10:05
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:04
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:04
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:05
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:04
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:04
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:05
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.47%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.92%EV -25.09%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-22 10:05
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -5.17%E -3.31%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.05%EV -25.80%E -4.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -12.23%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 10:05
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.55%EV -6.99%E -4.57%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.93%EV -26.50%E -5.10%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 10:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.12%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-04-22 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.12%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-04-22 10:20
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.12%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%0.9%2026-04-22 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.59%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-04-22 10:20
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-04-22 10:20
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.21%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-04-22 10:20