Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers v FC Seoul

Kickoff: 2026-03-18 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -0.114%
Edge -0.029%
Kelly -0.038%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%25.33%25.20%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.533.503.9833.33%28.31%28.57%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.96%44.78%44.92%46.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.032.042.1854.05%49.26%49.02%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.91%3.34fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%29.88%29.88%31.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.053.103.2537.04%32.74%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 25.10%; FC Seoul (Visit): 44.99%; Draw: 29.91%. For Pohang Steelers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.985. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.980, with an expected value of -0.114%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.31%EV -0.114%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 10:20
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.20%EV -1.62%E -0.413%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.06%EV -7.32%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -4.58%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 10:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.63%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.03%EV -5.48%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 10:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.63%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.03%EV -5.48%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 10:15
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 10:20
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -5.13%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.87%E -3.32%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.87%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 10:24
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -2.79%E -0.858%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 10:20
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 10:09
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 10:23
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 10:14
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 10:14
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 10:25
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 10:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 10:19
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 10:15
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 10:14
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 10:14
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 10:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:19
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 10:10
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:10
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.30%EV -13.62%E -7.09%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-18 10:14
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.72%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.36%EV -15.42%E -8.20%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.92%EV -14.75%E -5.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-18 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -16.77%E -9.06%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.84%EV -19.24%E -7.13%K -11.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-18 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.21%EV -14.97%E -7.92%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.67%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-18 10:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 25.51%EV -15.17%E -4.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.45%EV -12.72%E -6.55%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.04%EV -14.15%E -4.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-18 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.79%E -0.858%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 10:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-18 10:14
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -17.18%E -5.21%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -7.32%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -17.18%E -5.21%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -7.32%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 10:25
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -24.71%E -8.24%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -1.92%E -0.880%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-03-18 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%3.0%2026-03-18 10:10