La escuela de los momios

Pohang Steelers v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-03-18 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Predicción 25.10%3.98momio equitativo
EV -0.114%
Ventaja -0.029%
Kelly -0.038%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%25.33%25.20%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.503.9833.33%28.31%28.57%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 44.99%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.880%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.96%44.78%44.92%46.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.042.1854.05%49.26%49.02%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.91%3.34momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -0.858%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%29.88%29.88%31.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.053.103.2537.04%32.74%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.98I 25.13%NM 24.31%EV -0.114%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.62%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -3.69%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 10:20
1xBet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.20%EV -1.62%E -0.413%K -0.555%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.06%EV -7.32%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -4.58%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 10:24
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.63%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.03%EV -5.48%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 10:14
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.63%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.03%EV -5.48%E -1.73%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 10:15
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 10:24
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -2.12%E -0.544%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 10:20
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 10:09
Marathon Bet3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -5.13%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.87%E -3.32%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.87%E -2.56%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 10:24
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -2.79%E -0.858%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 10:20
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 10:09
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 10:23
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 10:14
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 10:15
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 10:14
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.89%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 10:25
PlayUp3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 10:14
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.52%E -2.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 10:15
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 10:19
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 10:15
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 10:14
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 10:14
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.65%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 10:10
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.77%E -3.79%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 10:10
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.28%E -2.35%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-18 10:19
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 10:10
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:10
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.16%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.02%E -5.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.26%E -4.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-18 10:09
Parions Sport (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.30%EV -13.62%E -7.09%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -11.76%E -3.99%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-18 10:14
NetBet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 24.72%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.36%EV -15.42%E -8.20%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.92%EV -14.75%E -5.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-18 10:20
PMU (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -13.42%E -3.89%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -16.77%E -9.06%K -19.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.84%EV -19.24%E -7.13%K -11.32%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-18 10:25
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -14.67%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 45.21%EV -14.97%E -7.92%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.67%EV -13.86%E -4.81%K -7.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-18 10:19
Betclic (FR)3.38I 29.59%NM 25.51%EV -15.17%E -4.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.45%EV -12.72%E -6.55%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.04%EV -14.15%E -4.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-18 10:14
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -6.42%E -3.09%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.79%E -0.858%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-18 10:24
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -15.93%E -4.75%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -10.92%E -5.51%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -10.27%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-18 10:14
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -17.18%E -5.21%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -7.32%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -17.18%E -5.21%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -7.32%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.28%E -1.34%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 10:25
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:24
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -8.22%E -4.03%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -5.78%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 10:25
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -24.71%E -8.24%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -1.92%E -0.880%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -8.77%E -2.88%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 10:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-03-18 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-03-18 10:10
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.35%3.0%2026-03-18 10:10