Language:English
Pohang Steelers v Daejeon Citizen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pohang Steelers (Local)
Prediction 38.61%2.59fair odd
EV +0.392%
Edge +0.151%
Kelly +0.245%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.20%38.46%38.62%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.432.452.6045.87%41.07%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daejeon Citizen (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV +0.999%
Edge +0.317%
Kelly +0.465%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.63%32.14%32.07%34.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.753.1539.22%35.94%36.36%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.40%29.31%30.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.873.063.023.2534.84%32.65%33.06%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pohang Steelers (Local): 38.61%; Daejeon Citizen (Visit): 32.06%; Draw: 29.32%. For Daejeon Citizen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.999%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.22%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%EV +0.999%E +0.317%K +0.465%G +0.005% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.22%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%EV +0.999%E +0.317%K +0.465%G +0.005% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.57%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.64%EV -1.89%E -0.617%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -8.87%E -3.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 07:12 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 06:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 06:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.34%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.33%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 07:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 07:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.96%E -5.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 06:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.12%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 06:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -13.12%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.50%EV -15.82%E -7.26%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.19%EV -13.49%E -4.57%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-04 07:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -15.05%E -6.84%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.66%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.48%EV -14.96%E -5.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.74%EV -15.05%E -6.84%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.57%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 29.70%EV -15.84%E -5.52%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV +0.392%E +0.151%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV +0.392%E +0.151%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV +0.392%E +0.151%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -18.24%E -7.15%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.49%E -4.57%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |