La escuela de los momios

Pohang Steelers v Daejeon Citizen

Inicio: 2026-04-04 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pohang Steelers (Local)

Predicción 38.61%2.59momio equitativo
EV +0.392%
Ventaja +0.151%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.20%38.46%38.62%39.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.432.452.6045.87%41.07%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Daejeon Citizen (Visitante)

Predicción 32.06%3.12momio equitativo
EV +0.999%
Ventaja +0.317%
Kelly +0.465%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.63%32.14%32.07%34.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.782.753.1539.22%35.94%36.36%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.40%29.31%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.873.063.023.2534.84%32.65%33.06%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 39.22%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%EV +0.999%E +0.317%K +0.465%G +0.005%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 07:15
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 39.22%EV -5.01%E -2.04%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%EV +0.999%E +0.317%K +0.465%G +0.005%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 07:15
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.57%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.64%EV -1.89%E -0.617%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 07:25
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 07:00
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -8.87%E -3.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:12
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.41%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 07:15
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -2.70%E -1.07%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -7.63%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 07:25
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 06:30
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.70%E -1.44%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 06:30
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 07:19
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 06:40
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 07:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 06:54
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -5.79%E -2.37%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.34%E -2.54%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.51%EV -7.33%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 07:20
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:20
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 07:00
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 38.85%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 06:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 06:30
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.40%E -2.20%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 07:14
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -11.19%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.16%E -1.93%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 07:01
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 07:20
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.96%E -5.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 07:20
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 06:30
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.10%E -3.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 06:29
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -8.49%E -3.58%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.12%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 06:29
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -13.12%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 07:00
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 39.50%EV -15.82%E -7.26%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.31%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.19%EV -13.49%E -4.57%K -6.92%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-04 07:13
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%EV -15.05%E -6.84%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.66%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.48%EV -14.96%E -5.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-04 07:15
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.74%EV -15.05%E -6.84%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.57%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 29.70%EV -15.84%E -5.52%K -8.47%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-04 07:20
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV +0.392%E +0.151%K +0.245%G +0.001%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -15.03%E -5.67%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:15
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV +0.392%E +0.151%K +0.245%G +0.001%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV +0.392%E +0.151%K +0.245%G +0.001%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -10.56%E -3.46%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 07:15
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:15
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:14
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:15
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:14
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:14
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:15
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:14
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:14
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:15
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:15
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -1.54%E -0.603%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -16.64%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -12.03%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 07:15
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.67%EV -18.24%E -7.15%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -13.49%E -4.57%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 07:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.71%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.00%1.0%2026-04-04 07:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16%2.0%2026-04-04 07:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.1%2026-04-04 07:15