Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Pohang Steelers

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prediction 45.73%2.19fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%45.85%45.78%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.972.002.0954.05%50.87%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pohang Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.325%
Kelly -0.439%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%25.49%25.59%27.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.76%28.66%28.63%30.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.3033.33%31.43%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 45.73%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 25.65%; Draw: 28.62%. For Pohang Steelers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -4.43%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -3.30%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -6.69%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 05:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 05:04
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 15:15
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 02:09
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:01
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.12%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:44
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -6.71%E -3.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.25%E -0.325%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -6.71%E -3.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.25%E -0.325%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:50
Bovada🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.84%E -3.12%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 04:47
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.35%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.10%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -6.12%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 15:54
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -6.12%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 21:55
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 15:12
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:01
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.53%E -0.667%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.37%E -5.29%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 15:54
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 05:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.74%E -6.08%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.53%E -0.667%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 05:25
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -3.82%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 05:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -3.82%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 05:25
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -13.11%E -6.90%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.25%EV -15.87%E -4.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -13.28%E -4.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 15:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.73%EV -13.11%E -6.90%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -20.49%E -6.61%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.86%EV -12.70%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-22 15:54
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -14.49%E -7.75%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 05:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.66%EV -14.49%E -7.75%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 06:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -15.40%E -8.32%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -9.84%E -3.12%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.14%EV -15.40%E -8.32%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -12.70%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.90%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.64%8.1%2026-04-24 00:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-23 05:04