La escuela de los momios

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-04-26 05:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Predicción 45.73%2.19momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -4.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%45.85%45.78%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.972.002.0954.05%50.87%50.00%47.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 25.65%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.439%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%25.49%25.59%27.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.593.603.8532.26%27.89%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.62%3.49momio equitativo
EV -5.55%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.76%28.66%28.63%30.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.203.3033.33%31.43%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -4.43%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -3.30%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.20%EV -6.69%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 05:00
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 05:04
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 15:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:35
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 02:09
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:01
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.84%E -3.12%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 04:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:44
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 04:45
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -6.71%E -3.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.25%E -0.325%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:49
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -6.71%E -3.29%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.25%E -0.325%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:50
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 45.44%EV -7.17%E -3.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.84%E -3.12%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 04:47
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.35%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.10%EV -4.33%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -6.12%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 22:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 15:54
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 15:54
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -6.12%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 21:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 15:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 15:12
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 14:25
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:01
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.53%E -0.667%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -10.37%E -5.29%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 15:54
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.83%E -5.55%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 05:04
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -11.74%E -6.08%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.53%E -0.667%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 05:25
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -3.82%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 05:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -3.82%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 05:25
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.66%E -6.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-22 21:55
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.32%EV -13.11%E -6.90%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.25%EV -15.87%E -4.84%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -13.28%E -4.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 15:54
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.73%EV -13.11%E -6.90%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -20.49%E -6.61%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.86%EV -12.70%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-22 15:54
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -14.03%E -7.46%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 05:25
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -14.49%E -7.75%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 05:25
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 45.66%EV -14.49%E -7.75%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.88%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%EV -14.13%E -4.71%K -7.07%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 06:39
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -15.40%E -8.32%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -9.84%E -3.12%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 46.14%EV -15.40%E -8.32%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.87%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.99%EV -12.70%E -4.17%K -6.20%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-22 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.90%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.64%8.1%2026-04-24 00:35
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%12.1%2026-04-23 05:04