Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Gwangju FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 4–0 Gwangju FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prediction 70.41%1.42fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -11.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.75%70.25%70.43%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.311.321.3681.97%76.38%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gwangju FC (Visit)

Prediction 10.05%9.95fair odd
EV +10.59%
Edge +0.963%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.112%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.40%10.17%9.95%11.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.618.5011.0013.33%11.61%11.76%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.54%5.12fair odd
EV +0.022%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.71%19.58%19.62%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.594.505.1223.81%21.77%22.22%19.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 70.41%; Gwangju FC (Visit): 10.05%; Draw: 19.54%. For Gwangju FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.95. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 04:29
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.34%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%10.85I 9.22%NM 8.87%EV +9.09%E +0.837%K +0.922%G +0.084%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.79%EV +0.022%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 04:45
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.540%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.32%E -0.464%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +0.540%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:44
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.99%E -9.59%K -47.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV +0.540%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 04:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.22%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -1.47%E -0.150%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 04:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.22%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -1.47%E -0.150%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 04:55
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.70%EV -4.24%E -3.12%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.73I 10.28%NM 9.74%EV -2.17%E -0.224%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.56%EV -9.94%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:49
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.85%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 04:55
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.27%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:39
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.41%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.97%EV -7.00%E -0.757%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -8.18%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 04:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.12%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.25%EV -8.51%E -0.935%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 04:54
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 04:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 04:44
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 04:44
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 04:40
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.99%E -9.59%K -47.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 04:29
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.41%EV -11.53%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.16%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.41%EV -11.53%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.16%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.25%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.29%EV -12.03%E -1.37%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.04%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 04:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 70.06%EV -14.10%E -11.56%K -64.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.06%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88%EV -16.00%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-05 04:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.45%EV -11.99%E -9.59%K -47.95%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.59%EV -17.56%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.96%EV -15.02%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-05 04:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -4.95%E -3.66%K -14.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 04:40
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 04:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:45
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:44
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:44
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -15.41%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-05 04:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 68.61%EV -11.28%E -8.95%K -43.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.81%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -17.95%E -4.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-05 04:55
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:39
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:39
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -14.04%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.72%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.73%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-05 04:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.09%EV -9.17%E -7.11%K -31.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -15.02%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-05 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.61%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.6%2026-05-05 04:55
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:30
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-05-05 04:55