La escuela de los momios

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Gwangju FC

Inicio: 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 4–0 Gwangju FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Predicción 70.41%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.24%
Ventaja -3.12%
Kelly -11.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.75%70.25%70.43%72.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.311.321.3681.97%76.38%75.76%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gwangju FC (Visitante)

Predicción 10.05%9.95momio equitativo
EV +10.59%
Ventaja +0.963%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.112%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.40%10.17%9.95%11.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.618.5011.0013.33%11.61%11.76%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.54%5.12momio equitativo
EV +0.022%
Ventaja +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.71%19.58%19.62%20.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.594.505.1223.81%21.77%22.22%19.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.16%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.27%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV +10.59%E +0.963%K +1.06%G +0.112%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 04:29
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.34%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%10.85I 9.22%NM 8.87%EV +9.09%E +0.837%K +0.922%G +0.084%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.79%EV +0.022%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-05 04:45
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV +0.540%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -2.32%E -0.464%K -0.581%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-05 04:30
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.70%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV +0.540%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 04:44
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 72.04%EV -11.99%E -9.59%K -47.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.00%EV +0.540%E +0.054%K +0.060%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 04:45
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.22%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -1.47%E -0.150%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 04:54
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 71.22%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -1.47%E -0.150%K -0.167%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-05 04:55
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.70%EV -4.24%E -3.12%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.73I 10.28%NM 9.74%EV -2.17%E -0.224%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.56%EV -9.94%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-05 04:49
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 70.85%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.28%E -0.873%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-05 04:55
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.27%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 04:39
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.74%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:44
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:40
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -4.49%E -0.472%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.41%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.97%EV -7.00%E -0.757%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -8.18%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-05 04:46
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.12%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.25%EV -8.51%E -0.935%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.21%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 04:54
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 70.03%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 04:45
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 04:44
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.59%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 04:44
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.35%E -4.78%K -19.25%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 04:40
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.99%E -9.59%K -47.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.80%EV -9.51%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.61%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-05 04:29
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.41%EV -11.53%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.16%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.41%EV -11.53%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -9.16%E -1.97%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 04:44
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.25%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.29%EV -12.03%E -1.37%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.04%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-05 04:40
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.06%EV -14.10%E -11.56%K -64.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.06%EV -14.54%E -1.71%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88%EV -16.00%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-05 04:55
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.45%EV -11.99%E -9.59%K -47.95%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.59%EV -17.56%E -2.14%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.96%EV -15.02%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-05 04:45
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -4.95%E -3.66%K -14.13%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -10.14%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-05 04:40
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.25%EV -5.65%E -4.22%K -16.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.76%E -5.93%K -25.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.23%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-05 04:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:45
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:44
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-05 04:44
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.37%EV -8.47%E -6.51%K -28.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -15.41%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-05 04:55
Betclic (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 68.61%EV -11.28%E -8.95%K -43.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.81%EV -19.57%E -2.45%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.58%EV -17.95%E -4.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-05 04:55
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:39
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:39
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:40
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.06%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-05 04:39
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 67.75%EV -7.06%E -5.35%K -22.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -14.04%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-05 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.72%EV -9.87%E -7.71%K -35.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.73%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.09%E -2.69%K -3.45%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-05 04:45
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.09%EV -9.17%E -7.11%K -31.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -24.60%E -3.28%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.19%EV -15.02%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-05 04:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.61%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.6%2026-05-05 04:55
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%0.9%2026-05-05 04:30
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62%2.1%2026-05-05 04:55