Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Gangwon FC

Kickoff: 2026-07-04 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–2 Gangwon FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prediction 34.71%2.88fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.69%34.93%34.72%39.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.552.602.8244.44%39.21%38.46%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gangwon FC (Visit)

Prediction 34.26%2.92fair odd
EV +4.48%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +2.18%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.32%34.08%34.28%35.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.703.0540.00%36.38%37.04%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.04%3.22fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.94%30.98%31.00%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.953.1536.36%33.92%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 34.71%; Gangwon FC (Visit): 34.26%; Draw: 31.04%. For Gangwon FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -18.44%E -7.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +4.48%E +1.47%K +2.18%G +0.098%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -19.48%E -8.40%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV +2.77%E +0.922%K +1.38%G +0.038%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -20.87%E -9.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-04 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -21.91%E -9.74%K -17.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -0.660%E -0.228%K -0.347%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-04 10:10
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.43%EV -2.48%E -0.882%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.06%EV -2.72%E -0.956%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -4.71%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 10:15
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.69%EV -4.91%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -3.74%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.48%EV -6.26%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.69%EV -2.13%E -0.755%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.98%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.88%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.69%EV -2.13%E -0.755%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.98%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.88%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -5.46%E -1.98%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -7.81%E -2.63%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 10:20
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.56%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 10:15
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -4.56%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:05
Bovada🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.78%EV -6.48%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 10:25
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -7.51%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.51%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:20
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.51%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:20
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.20%E -3.06%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 10:20
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.20%E -3.06%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.22%E -3.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 10:20
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.22%E -3.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 10:20
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.22%E -3.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 10:10
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.91%E -3.77%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:10
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:19
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.06%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.12%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 10:24
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 10:20
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.24%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 10:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.24%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.64%E -5.32%K -8.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.16%EV -16.71%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.38%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-04 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -13.24%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-07-04 10:15