La escuela de los momios

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v Gangwon FC

Inicio: 2026-07-04 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–2 Gangwon FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Predicción 34.71%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.69%34.93%34.72%39.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.552.602.8244.44%39.21%38.46%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gangwon FC (Visitante)

Predicción 34.26%2.92momio equitativo
EV +4.48%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +2.18%
Crecimiento +0.098%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.32%34.08%34.28%35.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.703.0540.00%36.38%37.04%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.04%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.707%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.94%30.98%31.00%31.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.952.953.1536.36%33.92%33.90%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -18.44%E -7.85%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV +4.48%E +1.47%K +2.18%G +0.098%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -19.48%E -8.40%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV +2.77%E +0.922%K +1.38%G +0.038%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.37%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 10:10
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -20.18%E -8.77%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.46%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 10:10
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -20.87%E -9.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV +1.05%E +0.357%K +0.540%G +0.006%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-04 10:10
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -21.91%E -9.74%K -17.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -0.660%E -0.228%K -0.347%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-04 10:10
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.43%EV -2.48%E -0.882%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.06%EV -2.72%E -0.956%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -4.71%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 10:15
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.69%EV -4.91%E -1.79%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.83%EV -3.74%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.48%EV -6.26%E -2.07%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:25
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.69%EV -2.13%E -0.755%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.98%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.88%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:05
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.69%EV -2.13%E -0.755%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%EV -5.46%E -1.98%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.88%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 10:05
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -5.46%E -1.98%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -7.81%E -2.63%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 10:20
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -4.56%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 10:15
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -4.56%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 10:10
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.80%E -2.11%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:05
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.78%EV -6.48%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 10:25
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.00%EV -7.51%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.23%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:25
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.51%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 10:20
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.51%E -2.78%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:20
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.20%E -3.06%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 10:20
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -6.99%E -2.61%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -8.20%E -3.06%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.02%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 10:20
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.22%E -3.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 10:20
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.22%E -3.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 10:20
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.03%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.22%E -3.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-04 10:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -8.72%E -3.32%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -9.91%E -3.77%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:10
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:19
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -6.30%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 10:05
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.06%EV -11.50%E -4.51%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.12%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.82%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 10:24
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.07%E -3.46%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.25%E -3.91%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.09%E -4.68%K -7.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 10:20
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.88%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 10:20
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.71%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 10:20
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -9.77%E -3.76%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-04 10:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.24%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.68%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 10:15
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.24%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.64%E -5.32%K -8.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-04 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.16%EV -16.71%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.38%EV -10.94%E -4.21%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -11.54%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-04 10:20
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -13.24%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.94%EV -14.36%E -5.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%1.0%2026-07-04 10:25
Smarkets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.89%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-07-04 10:15