Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v FC Seoul

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 07:30 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–2 FC Seoul

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Prediction 33.66%2.97fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.96%33.79%33.69%36.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.622.8642.02%38.11%38.17%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Seoul (Visit)

Prediction 36.84%2.71fair odd
EV +0.578%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.95%36.65%36.89%38.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.452.7344.44%40.55%40.82%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.50%3.39fair odd
EV +0.309%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.129%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%29.56%29.42%31.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.203.4034.48%31.82%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 33.66%; FC Seoul (Visit): 36.84%; Draw: 29.50%. For FC Seoul (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.578%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36%EV -3.74%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.95%EV +0.578%E +0.212%K +0.334%G +0.002%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.70%EV -11.20%E -3.72%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.96%EV -4.42%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.19%EV -2.00%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -13.26%E -4.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.96%EV -4.42%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.19%EV -2.00%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -13.26%E -4.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:05
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.44%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.47%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -10.90%E -3.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.44%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.47%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -10.90%E -3.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -3.47%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +0.309%E +0.091%K +0.129%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -15.86%E -6.34%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 17:11
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -1.17%E -0.348%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 10:54
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:06
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.47%EV -8.46%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.16%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 12:55
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.47%EV -8.46%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.16%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 16:04
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -10.47%E -4.31%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.56%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.84%E -4.48%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 12:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 10:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.92%EV -18.22%E -7.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 11:39
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -12.32%E -5.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -19.90%E -8.36%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -11.49%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.77%EV -14.53%E -6.26%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.92%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 12:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 34.17%2.46I 40.65%NM 35.84%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.99%13.4%2026-09-09 14:20