Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-09-12 07:30 UTC

Final: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors 1–2 FC Seoul

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local)

Predicción 33.66%2.97momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.96%33.79%33.69%36.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.622.622.8642.02%38.11%38.17%34.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 36.84%2.71momio equitativo
EV +0.578%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.334%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.95%36.65%36.89%38.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.452.7344.44%40.55%40.82%36.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.50%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.309%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.129%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%29.56%29.42%31.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.143.203.4034.48%31.82%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Local): 33.66%; FC Seoul (Visitante): 36.84%; Empate: 29.50%. Para FC Seoul (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.71. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.73, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.578%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36%EV -3.74%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.95%EV +0.578%E +0.212%K +0.334%G +0.002%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.70%EV -11.20%E -3.72%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.96%EV -4.42%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.19%EV -2.00%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -13.26%E -4.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.96%EV -4.42%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.19%EV -2.00%E -0.752%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.84%EV -13.26%E -4.51%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 15:05
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.44%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.47%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -10.90%E -3.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -6.44%E -2.32%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -3.47%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -10.90%E -3.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:25
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -3.47%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.49%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:10
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +0.309%E +0.091%K +0.129%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.90%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -15.86%E -6.34%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -8.63%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 17:11
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -1.17%E -0.348%K -0.496%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 10:54
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:06
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.47%EV -8.46%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.16%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 12:55
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.47%EV -8.46%E -3.11%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.16%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 16:04
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 13:10
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.88%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.32%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.81%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -16.53%E -6.67%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -10.47%E -4.31%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.56%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.33%EV -10.84%E -4.48%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 12:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -2.64%E -0.800%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-09 10:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.59%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.92%EV -18.22%E -7.50%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-05 23:05
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -11.58%E -4.83%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -14.44%E -4.98%K -7.60%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-09 11:39
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -12.32%E -5.18%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.50%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.96%EV -19.90%E -8.36%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.42%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.61%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-05 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.32%EV -11.49%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.77%EV -14.53%E -6.26%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.92%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-09 12:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -10.81%E -4.08%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -8.54%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-09 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 34.17%2.46I 40.65%NM 35.84%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.99%13.4%2026-09-09 14:20