Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC v Sangju Sangmu FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 07:30 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 1–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 30.45%3.28fair odd
EV -0.439%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.193%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.57%30.70%30.41%33.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.903.2737.74%34.39%34.48%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)

Prediction 40.13%2.49fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.879%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%39.91%40.15%40.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.312.312.4647.17%43.29%43.29%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%29.39%29.43%30.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.16%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 30.45%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 40.13%; Draw: 29.42%. For Jeju United FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.27, with an expected value of -0.439%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -0.439%E -0.134%K -0.193%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.12%EV -3.29%E -1.36%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -6.14%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 07:05
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 29.93%EV -4.70%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.04%EV -6.10%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.03%EV -8.20%E -2.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 07:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.01%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -6.90%E -2.97%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -8.20%E -2.63%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 06:53
Bovada🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.64%EV -5.01%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.04%EV -7.30%E -3.16%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 07:01
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 07:10
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 06:40
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 06:54
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.70%E -2.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -11.73%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 06:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 07:05
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -7.14%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 06:40
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.37%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 07:10
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 07:05
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 06:53
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 06:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.70%E -3.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 07:10
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.51%E -3.73%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 06:55
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.07%EV -8.51%E -3.73%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 06:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 07:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.66%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-18 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.82%EV -9.27%E -3.11%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -1.28%E -0.521%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 09:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.82%EV -9.27%E -3.11%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -1.28%E -0.521%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 09:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -10.18%E -3.45%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -9.71%E -4.32%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -5.84%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 06:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.70%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 07:10
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.70%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 07:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.70%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 07:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.70%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 07:05
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.70%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-18 07:05
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.70%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -11.72%E -5.33%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 06:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -12.31%E -4.28%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -2.90%E -0.879%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 08:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.72%E -6.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.38%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -13.72%E -6.38%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -13.20%E -4.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-18 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.27%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 40.50%EV -14.53%E -6.82%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.24%EV -13.20%E -4.47%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-18 07:08
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -13.23%E -4.64%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -14.93%E -7.04%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -14.67%E -5.06%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-18 06:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -16.27%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.66%EV -2.49%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.05%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 07:00
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -16.27%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -16.27%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -3.69%E -1.54%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -7.31%E -2.32%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 07:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:55
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:55
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:55
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:55
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:54
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -17.79%E -6.59%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -4.49%E -1.89%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.78%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 06:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -19.32%E -7.29%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.83%EV -6.50%E -2.79%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -10.26%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 07:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-18 07:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-18 07:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.48%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.14%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-18 07:05
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%1.6%2026-04-18 07:10
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-04-18 06:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%3.7%2026-04-18 07:05