The School of Odds

Jeju United FC v Pohang Steelers

2026-07-18 10:30 UTC — K League 1

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prediction 32.49%3.08fair odd
EV -7.41%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%32.49%32.49%32.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.762.752.8537%36%36%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pohang Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV -6.93%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.94%37.23%37.23%37.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.382.432.432.5042%41%41%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV -7.63%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.29%30.29%30.29%30.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.902.962.953.0534%34%34%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.41%E -2.60%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.03%E -3.23%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 10:40
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:40
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:40
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-11 10:39
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -10.66%E -3.88%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.66%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 10:39
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.62%EV -12.28%E -4.55%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -11.40%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -12.17%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-11 10:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.