Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.13
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 3.16
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jeju United FC (Local): 31.40%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 37.89%; Draw: 30.71%. For Jeju United FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.13, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -1.73%E -0.552%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -6.94%E -2.29%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -2.98%E -0.965%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -3.38%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -2.95%E -0.934%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.32%EV -3.76%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.32%EV -3.76%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 02:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.12%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -6.41%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 09:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.75%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.87%EV -8.30%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -10.32%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 03:00 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.75%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.87%EV -8.30%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -10.32%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 03:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 12:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 10:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-16 12:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-16 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.61%EV -8.32%E -2.85%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36%EV -11.71%E -5.03%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-18 10:04 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.41%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 10:20 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-18 09:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 03:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 08:44 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-16 12:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.52%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.52%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -11.46%E -4.06%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -13.39%E -4.75%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-18 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-18 07:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-16 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.20%E -4.30%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.20%E -4.30%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-18 02:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -15.23%E -5.64%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -15.23%E -5.64%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-18 09:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 10:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33% | 1.3% | 2026-07-18 10:15 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33% | 2.1% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |