La escuela de los momios

Jeju United FC v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-07-18 10:30 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 2–1 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Predicción 31.40%3.19momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.811%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.30%31.41%31.39%33.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.872.883.1337.04%34.89%34.72%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.89%2.64momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.52%37.87%37.95%38.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.452.5543.48%41.17%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.71%3.26momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -0.934%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.76%30.72%30.66%31.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.822.972.953.1635.46%33.67%33.90%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.13I 31.95%NM 30.35%EV -1.73%E -0.552%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.30%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -6.94%E -2.29%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 10:25
Pinnacle3.09I 32.36%NM 31.35%EV -2.98%E -0.965%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.99%EV -3.38%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.66%EV -2.95%E -0.934%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 10:20
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.32%EV -3.76%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 10:20
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.32%EV -3.76%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 10:20
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 02:59
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.81%E -1.94%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 10:25
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -6.12%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -6.41%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 09:25
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 30.75%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.87%EV -8.30%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -10.32%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 03:00
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 30.75%EV -6.44%E -2.16%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.87%EV -8.30%E -3.43%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -10.32%E -3.53%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 03:00
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 12:54
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 10:25
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-16 12:54
SportsBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -7.38%E -2.50%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.61%EV -8.32%E -2.85%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.36%EV -11.71%E -5.03%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 10:04
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.41%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 10:20
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.79%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-18 09:45
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 09:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 10:10
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 10:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.96%E -4.66%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 03:00
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.95%E -3.09%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 08:44
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.58%E -3.33%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 12:55
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.52%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 10:00
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -10.52%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 11:35
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -11.46%E -4.06%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.00%EV -13.39%E -4.75%K -7.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-18 10:05
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 09:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 07:30
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-16 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 10:10
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.82%E -4.13%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-18 10:10
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.20%E -4.30%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.20%E -4.30%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 10:10
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.09%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-18 02:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -6.03%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 09:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -13.66%E -4.97%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 09:55
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -15.23%E -5.64%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -7.17%E -2.93%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-18 09:55
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -15.23%E -5.64%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.73%EV -9.06%E -3.78%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.61%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.14%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-07-18 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-07-18 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-07-18 10:15
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-07-18 10:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%1.3%2026-07-18 10:15
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%2.1%2026-07-18 10:00