L’École des cotes

Jeju United FC v FC Seoul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 05:00 UTC

Score final : Jeju United FC 2–1 FC Seoul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Prévision 27.82%3.59cote équitable
EV +2.93%
Avantage +0.792%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.82%27.62%27.90%28.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.393.303.7032.79%29.53%30.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Seoul (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.54%2.35cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.94%42.77%42.53%47.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.082.102.2853.48%48.03%47.62%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.64%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.667%
Kelly -0.956%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.90%29.62%29.58%31.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.153.3034.48%31.95%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV +2.93%E +0.792%K +1.09%G +0.032%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.96%EV -16.19%E -8.22%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.20%E -0.667%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV +1.54%E +0.422%K +0.581%G +0.009%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -17.89%E -9.27%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 01:29
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV +1.54%E +0.422%K +0.581%G +0.009%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -17.89%E -9.27%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 01:29
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:30
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:30
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.27%EV -19.59%E -10.37%K -22.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 01:30
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.08%E -0.590%K -0.825%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -3.00%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -4.57%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 04:09
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.75%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 04:09
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.75%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 04:09
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 03:59
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -20.44%E -10.93%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 01:29
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.05%EV -3.75%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -7.68%E -3.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.81%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 03:59
Marathon Bet3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -3.75%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 04:00
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 04:14
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 04:13
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 04:09
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 04:14
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 04:14
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:34
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 03:59
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -6.83%E -3.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -9.61%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 03:54
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 01:49
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 02:04
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 27.78%EV -9.03%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.25%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.98%EV -10.20%E -3.37%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 04:12
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 04:13
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 04:00
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 04:14
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 04:14
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 02:33
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 00:33
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 04:14
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 04:14
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 02:34
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 42.95%EV -15.34%E -7.71%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.47%EV -14.05%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-09 02:24
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -15.15%E -4.97%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 04:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 03:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 03:59
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 03:59
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 04:00
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-09 04:14