La escuela de los momios

Jeju United FC v FC Seoul

Inicio: 2026-05-09 05:00 UTC

Final: Jeju United FC 2–1 FC Seoul

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jeju United FC (Local)

Predicción 27.82%3.59momio equitativo
EV +2.93%
Ventaja +0.792%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.82%27.62%27.90%28.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.393.303.7032.79%29.53%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Seoul (Visitante)

Predicción 42.54%2.35momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.94%42.77%42.53%47.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.082.102.2853.48%48.03%47.62%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.64%3.37momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.667%
Kelly -0.956%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.90%29.62%29.58%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.153.3034.48%31.95%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV +2.93%E +0.792%K +1.09%G +0.032%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.96%EV -16.19%E -8.22%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -2.20%E -0.667%K -0.956%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV +1.54%E +0.422%K +0.581%G +0.009%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -17.89%E -9.27%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 01:29
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV +1.54%E +0.422%K +0.581%G +0.009%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.11%EV -17.89%E -9.27%K -19.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 01:29
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:30
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:30
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -18.74%E -9.81%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 01:29
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV +0.148%E +0.041%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.27%EV -19.59%E -10.37%K -22.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 01:30
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.08%E -0.590%K -0.825%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.45%EV -3.00%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.06%EV -4.57%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 04:09
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.75%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 04:09
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.75%EV -5.55%E -2.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 04:09
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 03:59
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -2.63%E -0.753%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -20.44%E -10.93%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -6.65%E -2.11%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 01:29
1xBet3.46I 28.90%NM 27.05%EV -3.75%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -7.68%E -3.54%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.81%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 03:59
Marathon Bet3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -3.75%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -6.94%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 04:00
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.42%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 04:14
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.81%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 04:13
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 04:09
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 04:14
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 04:14
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -3.68%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 02:34
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 03:59
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -6.83%E -3.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -9.61%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 03:54
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 01:49
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 02:04
Betclic (FR)3.27I 30.58%NM 27.78%EV -9.03%E -2.76%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.25%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.98%EV -10.20%E -3.37%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 04:12
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -5.16%E -1.61%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 04:13
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 04:00
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 04:14
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 04:14
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 02:33
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 00:33
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 04:14
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 03:59
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -12.57%E -4.26%K -6.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 04:14
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 02:34
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 42.95%EV -15.34%E -7.71%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.47%EV -14.05%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-09 02:24
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -15.15%E -4.97%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -11.09%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 04:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 03:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 04:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 03:59
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-05-09 03:59
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-05-09 04:00
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-09 04:14