Language:English
Incheon United v Sangju Sangmu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 40.80%2.45fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.35%40.75%40.87%41.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.282.3647.62%44.24%43.86%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV +0.202%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%29.19%29.10%31.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.073.053.4435.09%32.55%32.79%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.86%30.06%30.03%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.053.053.2535.09%32.83%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 40.80%; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit): 29.13%; Draw: 30.07%. For Sangju Sangmu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.202%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.98%EV -3.71%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV +0.202%E +0.059%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -5.88%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -0.963%E -0.283%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -0.963%E -0.283%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.88%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.88%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.51%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -2.27%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 07:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.38%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.40%E -4.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -2.27%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.40%E -4.65%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.13%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.08%EV -13.49%E -4.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -14.30%E -5.02%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-05 07:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -16.98%E -5.96%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-04-05 07:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 07:20 |