Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Incheon United v Sangju Sangmu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 07:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Incheon United (Local)

Prévision 40.80%2.45cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.35%40.75%40.87%41.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.282.3647.62%44.24%43.86%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.13%3.43cote équitable
EV +0.202%
Avantage +0.059%
Kelly +0.083%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.73%29.19%29.10%31.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.073.053.4435.09%32.55%32.79%29.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.699%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.86%30.06%30.03%31.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.053.053.2535.09%32.83%32.79%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Incheon United (Local) : 40.80% ; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visiteur) : 29.13% ; Match nul : 30.07%. Pour Sangju Sangmu FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.43. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.44, soit une espérance positive de +0.202%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.98%EV -3.71%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV +0.202%E +0.059%K +0.083%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.90%EV -5.88%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 07:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -0.963%E -0.283%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 07:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.34%EV -5.34%E -2.30%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -0.963%E -0.283%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 07:19
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.88%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.88%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.29%E -3.83%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 07:19
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.51%EV -6.57%E -2.87%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -2.27%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 07:19
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.06%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.38%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 07:19
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.40%E -4.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 07:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 07:20
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 07:19
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 07:20
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 07:19
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 07:05
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -2.27%E -0.699%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 07:20
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 07:19
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 07:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 07:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -13.40%E -4.65%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 07:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -11.16%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.20%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 07:19
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.13%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.08%EV -13.49%E -4.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-05 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.35%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 07:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.32%E -6.82%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.07%EV -14.07%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.09%EV -14.30%E -5.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-05 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 07:19
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 07:19
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:19
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:20
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -8.29%E -2.72%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 07:19
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.53%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 07:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.59%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -16.98%E -5.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 07:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-04-05 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-04-05 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-04-05 07:20
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-04-05 07:19
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-04-05 07:20
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%2.0%2026-04-05 07:20