默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Incheon United v Sangju Sangmu FC

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 10:30 UTC

最终结果: Incheon United 1–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Incheon United (主队)

预测 42.07%2.38公平赔率
EV -1.55%
优势 -0.663%
Kelly -1.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.34

博彩公司预测分布
40.59%42.07%42.06%43.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.152.152.3450.76%46.53%46.51%42.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sangju Sangmu FC (客队)

预测 28.13%3.56公平赔率
EV -0.998%
优势 -0.284%
Kelly -0.396%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.52

博彩公司预测分布
26.95%28.15%28.08%28.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.233.203.5232.79%30.92%31.25%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.80%3.36公平赔率
EV -4.63%
优势 -1.45%
Kelly -2.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
28.52%29.78%29.85%31.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.073.103.2034.48%32.60%32.26%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Incheon United (主队):42.07%;Sangju Sangmu FC (客队):28.13%;平局:29.80%。 对于“Sangju Sangmu FC (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.56。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.52,期望值为-0.998%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.40%EV -1.55%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.33%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -1.55%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -1.55%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 10:19
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:24
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 10:25
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.26%EV -5.76%E -2.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.82%EV -6.18%E -2.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.62%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 10:19
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 10:20
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.31%EV -7.86%E -3.59%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.95%EV -0.998%E -0.284%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -4.93%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 10:24
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.80%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 10:20
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 10:19
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 10:20
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 10:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 10:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -9.44%E -2.93%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 10:18
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 10:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 10:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.08%EV -12.91%E -6.24%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.98%E -4.44%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 10:24
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:14
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.43%EV -17.12%E -8.69%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-16 10:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-08-16 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-08-16 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-08-16 10:25
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-08-16 10:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-08-16 10:20