Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Incheon United v Sangju Sangmu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 10:30 UTC

Score final : Incheon United 1–1 Sangju Sangmu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Incheon United (Local)

Prévision 42.07%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.59%42.07%42.06%43.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.152.152.3450.76%46.53%46.51%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sangju Sangmu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.13%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.998%
Avantage -0.284%
Kelly -0.396%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.95%28.15%28.08%28.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.233.203.5232.79%30.92%31.25%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.80%3.36cote équitable
EV -4.63%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.52%29.78%29.85%31.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.073.103.2034.48%32.60%32.26%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Incheon United (Local) : 42.07% ; Sangju Sangmu FC (Visiteur) : 28.13% ; Match nul : 29.80%. Pour Sangju Sangmu FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.56. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.52, pour une espérance de -0.998% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.40%EV -1.55%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.33%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -1.55%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -1.55%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 10:19
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:24
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 10:25
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.26%EV -5.76%E -2.57%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.82%EV -6.18%E -2.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.62%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 10:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 10:19
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 10:20
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.31%EV -7.86%E -3.59%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.95%EV -0.998%E -0.284%K -0.396%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -4.93%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 10:24
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -8.28%E -3.80%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 10:20
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 10:19
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 10:20
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 10:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 10:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -9.44%E -2.93%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 10:18
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 10:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 10:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.08%EV -12.91%E -6.24%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -12.98%E -4.44%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 10:24
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:14
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -13.33%E -6.47%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -13.75%E -6.71%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -7.61%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -15.01%E -7.43%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.43%EV -17.12%E -8.69%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.05%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-16 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-08-16 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-08-16 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-08-16 10:25
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.0%2026-08-16 10:20
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-08-16 10:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-08-16 10:20