Language:English
Incheon United v Pohang Steelers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV +0.842%
Edge +0.247%
Kelly +0.349%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.40%29.68%29.59%37.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.973.003.4140.82%33.64%33.33%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pohang Steelers (Visit)
Prediction 37.32%2.68fair odd
EV +5.25%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +2.88%
Growth +0.151%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.35%37.29%37.28%38.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.492.502.8244.44%40.14%40.00%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV -0.684%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.342%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.41%33.02%33.13%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.71%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 29.57%; Pohang Steelers (Visit): 37.32%; Draw: 33.11%. For Pohang Steelers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -27.55%E -11.24%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.35%EV +5.25%E +1.86%K +2.88%G +0.151% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -0.684%E -0.228%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV +0.842%E +0.247%K +0.349%G +0.003% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.25%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -6.64%E -2.36%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -17.20%E -6.14%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -2.34%E -0.793%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 10:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.65%EV -3.71%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.26%EV -8.63%E -3.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.65%EV -3.71%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.26%EV -8.63%E -3.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -18.68%E -6.79%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -18.68%E -6.79%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -2.12%E -0.639%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -5.20%E -2.05%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -2.34%E -0.793%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.26%E -5.06%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.26%E -5.06%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-12 10:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -4.78%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -7.07%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -7.97%E -2.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.97%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.98%EV -7.97%E -2.87%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.17%EV -21.63%E -8.16%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.44%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.99%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 10:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-12 10:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -13.26%E -5.06%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.59%EV -10.69%E -3.54%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.55%EV -11.17%E -4.69%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.95%E -3.66%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -11.17%E -4.69%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-12 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.23%EV -13.65%E -4.67%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.94%EV -16.03%E -7.12%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -13.93%E -5.36%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35% | 0.4% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.18% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 10:24 |