La escuela de los momios

Incheon United v Pohang Steelers

Inicio: 2026-05-12 10:30 UTC

Final: Incheon United 0–1 Pohang Steelers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Predicción 29.57%3.38momio equitativo
EV +0.842%
Ventaja +0.247%
Kelly +0.349%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.40%29.68%29.59%37.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.973.003.4140.82%33.64%33.33%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pohang Steelers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.32%2.68momio equitativo
EV +5.25%
Ventaja +1.86%
Kelly +2.88%
Crecimiento +0.151%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.35%37.29%37.28%38.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.8244.44%40.14%40.00%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.11%3.02momio equitativo
EV -0.684%
Ventaja -0.228%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.41%33.02%33.13%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.71%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -27.55%E -11.24%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.35%EV +5.25%E +1.86%K +2.88%G +0.151%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -0.684%E -0.228%K -0.342%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 10:24
Pinnacle3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV +0.842%E +0.247%K +0.349%G +0.003%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.25%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -6.64%E -2.36%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 10:24
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -17.20%E -6.14%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.59%EV -2.96%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -2.34%E -0.793%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 10:09
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.65%EV -3.71%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.26%EV -8.63%E -3.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:24
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.89%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.65%EV -3.71%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.26%EV -8.63%E -3.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 10:24
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:24
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -18.68%E -6.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -18.68%E -6.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.26%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -4.83%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 10:24
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -2.12%E -0.639%K -0.916%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -5.20%E -2.05%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -2.34%E -0.793%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 10:24
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.85%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 10:24
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 10:24
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 10:20
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.26%E -5.06%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -13.26%E -5.06%K -8.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 10:24
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -20.15%E -7.46%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -6.69%E -2.68%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-12 10:14
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -4.78%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -7.07%E -2.84%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.56%EV -7.97%E -2.87%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 10:24
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.97%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.98%EV -7.97%E -2.87%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 10:24
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.17%EV -21.63%E -8.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.44%EV -7.44%E -3.00%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-12 10:15
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.65%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 10:24
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 10:20
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.56%E -3.49%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 10:24
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.99%E -1.38%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 10:15
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.66%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 10:24
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 10:19
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.30%E -2.61%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 10:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -8.96%E -3.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-12 10:24
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.43%E -4.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -13.26%E -5.06%K -8.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-12 10:24
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.59%EV -10.69%E -3.54%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.55%EV -11.17%E -4.69%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.95%E -3.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 10:24
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -11.17%E -4.69%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-12 10:20
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.29%E -5.23%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -10.62%E -3.93%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-12 10:24
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.23%EV -13.65%E -4.67%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.94%EV -16.03%E -7.12%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -13.93%E -5.36%K -8.70%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-12 10:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35%0.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.35%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.35%0.4%2026-05-12 10:24
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.23%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.50%0.6%2026-05-12 10:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%0.7%2026-05-12 10:24
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.16%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.18%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.66%0.9%2026-05-12 10:24
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32%2.1%2026-05-12 10:24