Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Incheon United v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 10:30 UTC

Final: Incheon United 1–1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Incheon United (Local)

Prediction 32.40%3.09fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.61%32.37%32.42%33.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.812.803.0037.04%35.55%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -0.539%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.325%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.00%37.32%37.44%38.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.412.402.6644.84%41.44%41.67%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.20%3.31fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.31%30.14%31.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2035.71%33.25%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 32.40%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit): 37.39%; Draw: 30.20%. For Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.66, with an expected value of -0.539%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -2.79%E -0.928%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV -3.43%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.39%EV -0.539%E -0.203%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -6.07%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 10:15
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.41%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 10:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -4.73%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -4.73%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 09:30
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.03%E -2.08%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 09:34
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.03%E -2.08%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 09:30
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.67%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 09:25
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.67%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 09:30
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.15%EV -7.32%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.39%EV -5.76%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 09:20
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 09:34
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.55%EV -12.88%E -5.53%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 09:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -7.97%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.79%EV -7.64%E -3.09%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -3.95%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 10:00
Bovada🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.29%E -2.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -5.03%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 10:14
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 09:35
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 09:20
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 09:55
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -13.01%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 10:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -13.01%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 10:15
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 09:24
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 09:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.01%E -4.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:24
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.01%E -4.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:24
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 09:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -15.43%E -5.51%K -8.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 09:24
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.55%EV -15.87%E -7.05%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-30 09:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.11%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.32%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.76%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.46%EV -16.62%E -7.45%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.78%EV -13.01%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-30 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-08-30 10:25