Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Incheon United v Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Inicio: 2026-08-30 10:30 UTC

Final: Incheon United 1–1 Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Incheon United (Local)

Predicción 32.40%3.09momio equitativo
EV -2.79%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.61%32.37%32.42%33.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.812.803.0037.04%35.55%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante)

Predicción 37.39%2.67momio equitativo
EV -0.539%
Ventaja -0.203%
Kelly -0.325%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.00%37.32%37.44%38.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.232.412.402.6644.84%41.44%41.67%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 30.20%3.31momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.92%30.31%30.14%31.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2035.71%33.25%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Incheon United (Local): 32.40%; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante): 37.39%; Empate: 30.20%. Para Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.67. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.66, con un valor esperado de -0.539%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -2.79%E -0.928%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 09:20
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.48%EV -3.43%E -1.15%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.39%EV -0.539%E -0.203%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.13%EV -6.07%E -1.95%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 10:15
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -4.41%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 10:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -4.73%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.32%EV -4.73%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.00%EV -1.29%E -0.487%K -0.784%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.68%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 09:30
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.03%E -2.08%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 09:34
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.03%E -2.08%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 09:30
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -6.67%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 09:25
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.67%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 09:30
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.15%EV -7.32%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.39%EV -5.76%E -1.85%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.35%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 09:20
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-30 09:34
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -7.65%E -2.68%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.55%EV -12.88%E -5.53%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 09:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -7.97%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.79%EV -7.64%E -3.09%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -3.95%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 10:00
Bovada🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.54%EV -8.29%E -2.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.25%EV -5.03%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 10:14
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.37%E -2.05%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 09:35
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 09:20
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 09:20
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 09:55
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -13.01%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 10:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -13.01%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 10:15
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -9.27%E -3.31%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV -4.86%E -1.54%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 09:24
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 09:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.01%E -4.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:24
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.01%E -4.63%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 09:24
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 09:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.39%E -3.13%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 10:05
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -10.26%E -4.28%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -15.43%E -5.51%K -8.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 09:24
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -10.89%E -3.96%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.55%EV -15.87%E -7.05%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.91%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-30 09:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.96%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -12.13%E -5.16%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -7.88%E -2.58%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 09:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.57%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.11%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.32%EV -12.41%E -4.28%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -14.00%E -6.09%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.90%E -3.69%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.76%EV -12.51%E -4.63%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.46%EV -16.62%E -7.45%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.78%EV -13.01%E -4.52%K -6.92%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-30 09:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.01%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-08-30 10:25
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%1.0%2026-08-30 10:25