Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 3.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 46.29%; Jeju United FC (Visit): 26.15%; Draw: 27.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.288%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -6.95%E -3.46%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -6.37%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 05:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.814%E -0.226%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -7.87%E -3.96%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -7.87%E -3.96%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 04:47 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.61%EV -6.95%E -3.46%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 02:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.87%E -3.96%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -4.95%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.32%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.32%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 02:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.80%E -4.47%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 19:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.69%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 12:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -8.80%E -4.47%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -10.65%E -5.52%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.09%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 07:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -15.74%E -8.65%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -12.38%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -15.00%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -15.97%E -5.24%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%EV -12.97%E -6.90%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 25.54%EV -11.86%E -3.52%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.69%EV -17.35%E -5.78%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 12:23 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 14:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.43% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.24% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |