La escuela de los momios

Incheon United v Jeju United FC

Inicio: 2026-04-25 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Predicción 46.29%2.16momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -4.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%46.32%46.16%47.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.971.972.0554.95%50.78%50.76%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jeju United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV -5.85%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.24%26.17%26.13%26.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.503.553.6030.77%28.58%28.17%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.55%3.63momio equitativo
EV +0.288%
Ventaja +0.079%
Kelly +0.109%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%27.50%27.72%28.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.203.6433.33%30.80%31.25%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -6.95%E -3.46%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.56%EV -6.37%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.13%EV +0.288%E +0.079%K +0.109%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 05:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -0.814%E -0.226%K -0.313%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:00
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -7.87%E -3.96%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -7.87%E -3.96%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:19
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 04:47
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.61%EV -6.95%E -3.46%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 02:25
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.87%E -3.96%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -6.89%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -4.67%E -1.35%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 02:19
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -4.95%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 18:00
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.32%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:50
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.32%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:19
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 19:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 19:50
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.80%E -4.47%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 08:48
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 19:49
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.69%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 12:24
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 12:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.10%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 14:24
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -8.80%E -4.47%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 07:40
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 19:50
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.85%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 07:40
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.68%EV -9.26%E -4.73%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.98%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 12:20
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 12:19
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 12:20
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 07:40
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 07:40
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.12%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 07:40
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 07:40
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 07:40
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 07:40
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 07:40
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 07:40
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 07:40
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -10.19%E -5.25%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -7.15%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 07:40
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -10.65%E -5.52%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.21%E -4.19%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 10:49
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 10:49
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -7.41%E -3.71%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 10:49
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.73%E -4.99%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 19:50
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.09%EV -11.58%E -6.06%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 07:40
NetBet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 46.94%EV -15.74%E -8.65%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.50%EV -12.38%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.56%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-23 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.30%EV -12.04%E -6.34%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.48%EV -15.00%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.22%EV -15.97%E -5.24%K -7.79%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%EV -12.97%E -6.90%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.54%EV -11.86%E -3.52%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.69%EV -17.35%E -5.78%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 12:23
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%5.1%2026-04-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%5.1%2026-04-23 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%5.1%2026-04-23 14:10
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 45.43%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.29%10.1%2026-04-24 02:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%11.1%2026-04-23 09:04