Language:English
Incheon United v FC Seoul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Incheon United (Local)
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.56%31.54%31.51%34.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.872.853.0537.74%34.86%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Seoul (Visit)
Prediction 37.63%2.66fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.589%
Kelly +0.935%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.96%37.64%37.62%41.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.402.402.7046.08%41.63%41.67%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.80%3.25fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.08%30.82%30.87%32.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.40%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Incheon United (Local): 31.58%; FC Seoul (Visit): 37.63%; Draw: 30.80%. For FC Seoul (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%EV -12.22%E -4.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV +1.59%E +0.589%K +0.935%G +0.015% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.01%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.34%EV -0.292%E -0.110%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -7.30%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 04:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -0.292%E -0.110%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -0.292%E -0.110%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 04:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -5.59%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.87%EV -4.81%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -10.07%E -3.45%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.94%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 04:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.94%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 04:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.95%E -3.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.95%E -3.70%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 04:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 04:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -15.34%E -6.82%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -13.15%E -4.66%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-28 04:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.11%EV -12.54%E -4.53%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 38.65%EV -16.09%E -7.22%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-28 04:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.56%EV -16.33%E -6.16%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.02%EV -17.22%E -7.83%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.42%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -17.98%E -8.25%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -17.98%E -8.25%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -17.98%E -8.25%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 04:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 30.71%EV -12.22%E -4.40%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.34%EV -18.35%E -8.46%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.95%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 04:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.78% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.81% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 04:50 |