L’École des cotes

Incheon United v FC Seoul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Incheon United (Local)

Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.56%31.54%31.51%34.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.872.853.0537.74%34.86%35.09%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Seoul (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.63%2.66cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.589%
Kelly +0.935%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.96%37.64%37.62%41.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.402.402.7046.08%41.63%41.67%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.80%3.25cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -0.947%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.08%30.82%30.87%32.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.40%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%EV -12.22%E -4.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV +1.59%E +0.589%K +0.935%G +0.015%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -4.83%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 04:49
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.67%EV -4.01%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.34%EV -0.292%E -0.110%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.99%EV -7.30%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 04:44
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -0.292%E -0.110%K -0.177%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 04:49
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -0.292%E -0.110%K -0.177%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 04:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 04:40
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 04:39
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 04:49
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -2.17%E -0.836%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 04:49
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.17%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 04:43
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -5.59%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.87%EV -4.81%E -1.90%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.94%EV -10.07%E -3.45%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 04:49
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.94%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 04:38
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.94%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 04:40
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 04:49
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 04:39
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.82%E -3.19%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 04:39
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.95%E -3.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 04:39
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.45%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.94%EV -8.95%E -3.70%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 04:40
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 04:49
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 04:50
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 04:49
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 04:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 04:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 04:39
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -9.70%E -4.04%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 04:39
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 04:50
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 04:49
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.76%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.36%EV -10.45%E -4.39%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.30%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 04:40
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -2.98%E -0.947%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 04:49
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 04:49
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.58%E -4.93%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:40
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:49
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:49
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:49
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:50
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:50
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:50
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:50
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -12.71%E -5.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 04:49
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.46%E -5.85%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 04:39
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -15.34%E -6.82%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.84%EV -13.15%E -4.66%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 04:44
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 31.11%EV -12.54%E -4.53%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.65%EV -16.09%E -7.22%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.24%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-28 04:38
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.56%EV -16.33%E -6.16%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.02%EV -17.22%E -7.83%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.42%EV -15.30%E -5.56%K -8.74%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-28 04:50
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -17.98%E -8.25%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 04:49
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -3.70%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -17.98%E -8.25%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-28 04:49
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -17.98%E -8.25%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 04:39
Unibet (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 30.71%EV -12.22%E -4.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.34%EV -18.35%E -8.46%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.95%EV -12.22%E -4.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-28 04:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-28 04:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-02-28 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.82%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.76%1.6%2026-02-28 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-02-28 04:50
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 32.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.41%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.81%3.1%2026-02-28 04:50